Here's What Needs to Happen Before Farage Can Become Prime Minister.

The wind is at his back, but can my old boss stay the course?

This article first appeared on The National Pulse:

A few years ago, it was unfathomable that a small, upstart political party born out of the Brexit movement could amass enough popular support to challenge a newly elected government in public opinion polls and at the ballot box. But a combination of Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party's ineptitude and corruption, Kemi Badenoch's Conservative Party's impotent opposition, and Nigel Farage's indefatigability have created the foundation for a once-in-a-century political earthquake in Britain.

Farage, the architect of Brexit, now stands on the precipice of achieving what once seemed impossible: becoming Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.

The Conservative Party, aka the 'Tories,' find themselves adrift, bereft of a coherent strategy or message. Years of internal squabbling, policy U-turns, and a complete disconnect from the electorate – especially over the topic of mass migration and Islam – have left them facing electoral oblivion. Once known as the "party of government," the Tories have become a shaky coalition of self-serving factions. The recent string of humiliating election defeats is symptomatic of a broader malaise: a party without a paddle, let alone a map.

Labour, meanwhile, should be capitalizing on this dysfunction, having won a large majority at this summer's election (though notably with one of the worst turnouts in decades). But Starmer’s team has failed to inspire. Instead, it has found itself mangled in cronyism and corruption scandals almost from day one and has made raising taxes on ordinary Britons its first order of business.

'WHEN THE NEW PRIME MINISTER IS FARAGE.'

A decade ago, DJ and radio presenter Mike Reid played a humorous 'UKIP Calypso' song at the party's conference in Doncaster. The attendees of the evening gala – your correspondent included – laughed along as Reid sang, "Oh yes, when we take charge, and the new Prime Minister is Farage..."

Fun though it was, it is fair to say that almost no one in the room believed this was a realistic possibility, instead seeing Farage's prior grouping, the UK Independence Party (UKIP), as a means by which to force David Cameron's Conservatives to the right. At the time, it worked. UKIP's electoral victories at the local and European Parliamentary levels forced Cameron to pledge the now infamous Brexit referendum. The rest is history.

But Farage refused to go quietly, having watched the Tories fumble the Brexit process, deferring to the European Union (EU) all along the way and somehow actually increasing net migration into Britain, despite their Brexit-supporting base becoming increasingly irate about the gargantuan numbers.

Farage's relentless campaigning and instinctive populist appeal led his new Reform Party to win a breakthrough five seats in the summer general election. They have since picked up defections, seats at local elections, and, critically, the support of major moneymen like Nick Candy and Elon Musk.

Farage, a friend and supporter of President Trump since I introduced him to the concept of MAGA back at that same party conference in Doncaster, has the opportunity to mount his own Trump 2016 moment, having already created a precursor to Trump with the early 2016 Brexit vote.

THE ROAD TO DOWNING STREET.

The journey certainly will not be easy. Farage and the Reform Party must capitalize on every opportunity to build momentum and can afford very few (if any) mistakes or failures before the prospective 2029 general election.

That may seem a way off, but we're now closer to 2029 than 2016. In fact, within the next month, we'll get closer to 2029 than 2020.

Every by-election and local election will shape Britain's political landscape over the next five years. If you're a member of this website, you'll be helping support our blow-by-blow coverage of Farage's biggest fight yet.

Every council seat won, every constituency flipped, will signal to voters that the revolution is real and within reach.

Equally critical is the need for a robust grassroots operation, a topic Farage and Musk broached at their recent Mar-a-Lago meeting. Farage is prioritizing the development of a root-and-branch network of party activists capable of mobilizing voters and sustaining momentum in every corner of the country.

Much like Musk, Charlie Kirk, Scott Pressler, and others did during America's 2024 campaign period, Farage will be attempting to hit every door and register every voter he can. Notorious for his personal insistence on pounding the pavements, he will no doubt use this opportunity to hone his national arguments on the doorsteps of the United Kingdom. The party already has major events planned across the whole country, with eyes fixed firmly on Labour's northern 'red wall' as well as the Tory strongholds in the home counties.

MONEY, MONEY, MONEY.

Musk has taken a keen interest in Farage’s political ambitions. The pair first spoke at Mar-a-Lago the day after Trump's 2024 election victory. Again, your correspondent was present for what was a pleasant introductory conversation that led to the second meeting at Mar-a-Lago this past week.

A significant financial contribution from Musk would be a game-changer, especially given the dearth of cash involved in British politics, at least compared with America.

With the right resources, Farage would be able to stave off the inevitable, Never Trump-style hoaxes that are bound to be perpetuated against him over the next few years. Already, they've labeled him the obvious: a racist, xenophobe, Islamophobe, anti-Semite, womanizer, and the latest Democrat Party derivative: a "threat to democracy."

Musk’s involvement would also lend Farage’s movement a further aura of international significance, framing it as part of a broader populist uprising against entrenched elites.

But for Farage to succeed, he must learn from the mistakes of other populist movements. Winning the air war of media coverage is essential, but so too is winning the ground war of organization. Farage’s team must avoid the complacency that often follows early success and remain laser-focused on building the infrastructure necessary to sustain a long-term campaign.

Trump’s victory in 2016 serves as both inspiration and cautionary tale. Like Trump, Farage has the ability to electrify a room and rally a movement. But unlike Trump’s more chaotic approach, Farage must combine his charisma with discipline and strategic foresight. The stakes are too high for shortcuts or missteps.

A political earthquake of this magnitude happens only once in a century. The confluence of public anger, institutional failure, and individual ambition has created a moment ripe for disruption. If Farage can seize this opportunity—if he can turn by-election victories into a national surge, and if he can build a party machine capable of sustaining the fight—then he may well achieve the once "impossible."

In doing so, he would not only reshape Britain’s political landscape once again, and this time in a much grander way, but it would also fundamentally alter global politics. A United Kingdom with newfound pride, patriotism, and an optimistic focus could serve alongside a Trump-inspired America (though he will have left office by then) in destroying the politics of managed decline and once again breathing life into Western civilization.

You won't want to miss a minute of this.